PA-11 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 5-10%" at 36.0% on "PA-11 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 21.5%p from yesterday. $291 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 5-10%
▲21.536%
PoliticsVol $291Total volume $7.9KLiquidity $75Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 5-10%
36.0%
▲21.5
Republican 15-20%
21.5%
▼1.0
Republican 10-15%
17.0%
▼9.0
Republican 20-25%
9.80%
▼3.8
Republican 0-5%
7.90%
–
Republican 35%+
7.00%
▲0.7
Republican 30-35%
6.60%
▼2.0
Democrat Wins
4.60%
–
Republican 25-30%
4.20%
▼0.5
Probability over time
Republican 5-10%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 35%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
