PA-12 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Summer Lee (D)" at 97.2% on "PA-12 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Summer Lee (D)
–97%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $24KLiquidity $31Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Summer Lee (D)
97.2%
–
James Hayes (R)
2.55%
–
Probability over time
Summer Lee (D)
James Hayes (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
