PA-14 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 25.5% on "PA-14 House Election Margin of Victory". $414 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
–26%
PoliticsVol $414Total volume $15KLiquidity $90Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
25.5%
–
Republican 15-20%
19.5%
▲2.5
Republican 5-15%
15.5%
▲1.0
Republican 30-35%
15.2%
▲3.5
Republican 25-30%
13.6%
▼6.0
Republican 0-5%
9.20%
▲4.2
Republican 35-40%
9.15%
▲2.3
Republican 45%+
5.70%
▼7.4
Republican 40-45%
3.95%
▼2.6
Democrat Wins
0.80%
–
Probability over time
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 5-15%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
