PA-14 House Election Margin of Victory

Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
11.539%
PoliticsVol $217Total volume $248Liquidity $9.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
38.5%
11.5
Republican 40-45%
36.5%
12.5
Republican 0-5%
35.5%
1.5
Republican 5-15%
32.5%
7.0
Republican 45%+
31.5%
5.0
Republican 35-40%
31.5%
1.5
Republican 20-25%
31.5%
4.5
Republican 30-35%
31.0%
3.0
Republican 25-30%
30.0%
2.5
Democrat Wins
3.70%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.