PA-15 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Glenn Thompson (R)" at 95.3% on "PA-15 House Election Winner". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Glenn Thompson (R)
▲0.595%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $30KLiquidity $62Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Glenn Thompson (R)
95.3%
▲0.5
Ray Bilger (D)
4.00%
▼0.5
Probability over time
Glenn Thompson (R)
Ray Bilger (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
