PA-15 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 50%+" at 31.5% on "PA-15 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 50%+
▼2.532%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.2Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 50%+
31.5%
▼2.5
Republican 40-45%
31.0%
▼4.5
Republican 35-40%
31.0%
▼4.5
Republican 45-50%
30.0%
▼10.5
Republican 0-10%
30.0%
▼7.0
Republican 25-30%
27.5%
▼4.0
Republican 10-20%
27.0%
▼5.5
Democrat Wins
19.5%
▼15.7
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
