PA-15 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 30-35%" at 31.0% on "PA-15 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $105 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 30-35%
▼0.531%
PoliticsVol $105Total volume $13KLiquidity $94Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 30-35%
31.0%
▼0.5
Republican 25-30%
28.0%
▲0.5
Republican 35-40%
25.0%
▲1.0
Republican 50%+
8.50%
▲6.3
Republican 40-45%
8.35%
▼2.1
Republican 20-25%
8.00%
▲3.6
Republican 10-20%
7.50%
▲2.5
Republican 0-10%
5.85%
▲1.7
Republican 45-50%
3.60%
▼1.3
Democrat Wins
0.30%
–
Probability over time
Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 50%+
Republican 40-45%
Republican 20-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
