PA-16 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Mike Kelly (R)" at 93.1% on "PA-16 House Election Winner". Down 1.7%p from yesterday. $876 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Mike Kelly (R)
▼1.793%
PoliticsVol $876Total volume $56KLiquidity $85Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Mike Kelly (R)
93.1%
▼1.7
Justin Wagner (D)
6.45%
▲2.9
Probability over time
Mike Kelly (R)
Justin Wagner (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
