PA-16 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 5-10%" at 25.5% on "PA-16 House Election Margin of Victory". $42 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 5-10%
–26%
PoliticsVol $42Total volume $13KLiquidity $96Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 5-10%
25.5%
–
Republican 10-15%
24.5%
▼0.5
Republican 15-20%
21.5%
▲3.5
Republican 20-25%
13.0%
▼1.0
Republican 35%+
6.50%
–
Republican 0-5%
5.75%
–
Republican 25-30%
5.50%
–
Democrat Wins
5.05%
–
Republican 30-35%
1.25%
–
Probability over time
Republican 5-10%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 35%+
Republican 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
