PA-16 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-5%" at 28.5% on "PA-16 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 0-5%
▼3.028%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.2Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 0-5%
28.5%
▼3.0
Republican 5-10%
25.0%
▲1.0
Republican 35%+
23.5%
▼14.5
Republican 10-15%
23.5%
▼13.0
Republican 15-20%
22.5%
▼12.0
Democrat Wins
22.0%
▲16.0
Republican 20-25%
19.0%
▼5.0
Republican 30-35%
17.5%
▼17.0
Republican 25-30%
17.0%
▼18.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
