Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...?

Polymarket traders put "Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...?" at 61.5%. $2 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
October 15
–62%
PoliticsVol $2Total volume $2Liquidity $123in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Sep 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 15
61.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.