Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 16.5% on "Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?". Down 23.5%p from yesterday. $4.7K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
December 31
23.517%
PoliticsVol $4.7KTotal volume $4.7KLiquidity $18Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Sep 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
16.5%
23.5
October 31
10.5%
17.0
September 30
4.05%
11.9

Probability over time

December 31
October 31
September 30
02550751009/109/11
2026-09-10 ~ 2026-09-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.