Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 11.5% on "Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $238 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
December 31
▼0.512%
PoliticsVol $238Total volume $97KLiquidity $24Kin 2 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Oct 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
11.5%
▼0.5
October 31
4.00%
–

Probability over time

December 31
October 31
02550751009/109/189/2610/410/1210/2010/25
2026-09-10 ~ 2026-10-25 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.