Peak daily ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?
Polymarket traders put "28+" at 88.5% on "Peak daily ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?". $886 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 23.
Most likely right now
28+
–89%
PoliticsVol $886Total volume $886Liquidity $1.4Kin 8 days (Nov 23)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
28+
88.5%
–
30+
77.0%
–
32+
67.0%
–
34+
65.0%
–
36+
46.0%
–
38+
33.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
