Peak daily ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz week of November 16?
Polymarket traders put "4+" at 85.0% on "Peak daily ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz week of November 16?". $569 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 23.
Most likely right now
4+
–85%
PoliticsVol $569Total volume $569Liquidity $1.1Kin 8 days (Nov 23)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
4+
85.0%
–
5+
79.5%
–
3+
72.0%
–
6+
61.5%
–
7+
48.0%
–
8+
28.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
