Pennsylvania Governor Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 30.5% on "Pennsylvania Governor Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $377 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
▲1.031%
PoliticsVol $377Total volume $11KLiquidity $129Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
30.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 20-25%
25.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 30%+
24.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 15-20%
19.0%
▲2.0
Democrat 0-5%
4.55%
▲1.8
Democrat 5-10%
3.30%
–
Democrat 10-15%
3.00%
▼2.1
Republican Wins
0.60%
–

Probability over time

Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 30%+
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 5-10%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.