Pennsylvania Governor Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 15-20%" at 25.0% on "Pennsylvania Governor Election Margin of Victory". There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 15-20%
–25%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $928Liquidity $46Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 15-20%
25.0%
–
Democrat 0-5%
18.0%
▲5.5
Democrat 20-25%
18.0%
–
Democrat 30%+
11.5%
▼2.5
Democrat 10-15%
10.5%
▼3.5
Democrat 25-30%
8.50%
▼1.5
Democrat 5-10%
8.00%
▼2.0
Republican Wins
5.25%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
