Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Josh Shapiro (D)" at 96.8% on "Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Josh Shapiro (D)
–97%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $52KLiquidity $97Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Josh Shapiro (D)
96.8%
–
Stacy Garrity (R)
2.55%
–

Probability over time

Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.