Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 11.5% on "Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $2.9K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▼1.012%
PoliticsVol $2.9KTotal volume $637KLiquidity $31KComments 4in 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Nov 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
11.5%
▼1.0
November 30
8.50%
–
October 31
0.00%
▼1.3

Probability over time

December 31
November 30
October 31
02550751009/189/2610/410/1210/2010/2811/2
2026-09-18 ~ 2026-11-02 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.