Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket traders put "Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?" at 9.5%. Down 2.0%p from yesterday. $475 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
▼2.010%
PoliticsVol $475Total volume $160KLiquidity $12Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
9.50%
▼2.0
Probability over time
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-12 · y-axis %
