Quebec General Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?

Polymarket traders put "PQ 20-29" at 31.0% on "Quebec General Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?". $93 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 5.

Most likely right now
PQ 20-29
31%
PoliticsVol $93Total volume $93Liquidity $8.7Kin 13 days (Oct 5)
Current probability

Sep 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
PQ 20-29
31.0%
PQ 10-19
28.5%
PQ 30-39
26.5%
Another Party Wins
18.0%
PQ 40+
9.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.