Querétaro Governor Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero" at 45.0% on "Querétaro Governor Election Winner". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jun 7.

Most likely right now
Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero
▼1.045%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $30KLiquidity $251KComments 1in 8 months (Jun 7)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero
45.0%
▼1.0
Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera
40.0%
▲5.5
Santiago Nieto Castillo
18.9%
▼2.8
Teresa Calzada Rovirosa
1.90%
–
Laura Patricia Polo Herrera
1.35%
–
Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri
0.90%
–
Josué Guerrero Trápala
0.30%
–
Beatriz Robles Gutiérrez
0.25%
–
José María Tapia Franco
0.25%
–
Abigail Arredondo Ramos
0.25%
–
Gilberto Herrera Ruiz
0.15%
–
Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes
0.15%
–
Agustín Hernández Ortiz
0.15%
–
Mario Mauro Ramírez González
0.15%
–
Ricardo Astudillo Suárez
0.15%
–
Guadalupe Murguía Gutiérrez
0.15%
–
Marco Antonio Del Prete Tercero
0.15%
–
Paulina Aguado Romero
0.15%
–
Manuel Garrido Patrón
0.15%
–
Paul Ospital Carrera
0.15%
–
Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez
0.05%
–

Probability over time

Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero
Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera
Santiago Nieto Castillo
Teresa Calzada Rovirosa
Laura Patricia Polo Herrera
Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.