Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Polymarket traders put "Below 190" at 26.5% on "Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $208 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Below 190
▲1.527%
PoliticsVol $208Total volume $318KLiquidity $288KComments 5in 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Below 190
26.5%
▲1.5
190-194
15.0%
▲0.5
195-199
13.5%
▲0.5
205-209
11.5%
–
210-214
11.1%
▲0.8
200-204
10.9%
▲0.9
215-219
6.60%
–
220-224
3.65%
▲0.8
230+
2.35%
▲0.5
225-229
1.65%
–
Probability over time
Below 190
190-194
195-199
205-209
210-214
200-204
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
