Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Most likely right now
Below 190
–26%
PoliticsVol $209Total volume $289KLiquidity $169KComments 5in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Below 190
25.5%
–
190-194
14.5%
▲1.0
200-204
14.5%
▼0.7
195-199
14.0%
▼0.5
205-209
11.2%
–
210-214
8.75%
–
215-219
5.15%
–
225-229
4.55%
–
220-224
3.00%
–
230+
2.90%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
