Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? (Lower Brackets)

Polymarket traders put "190+" at 62.5% on "Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? (Lower Brackets)". $81 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
190+
–63%
PoliticsVol $81Total volume $81Liquidity $1.9Kin 11 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 24 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
190+
62.5%
–
170-174
22.5%
–
175-179
19.5%
–
185-189
15.5%
–
180-184
12.5%
–
Below 170
9.00%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.