Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 83.5% on "Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?". Down 2.5%p from yesterday. $2.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
December 31
2.584%
PoliticsVol $2.3KTotal volume $21KLiquidity $56Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
83.5%
2.5
October 31
74.5%
5.0
September 30
50.5%
4.5
September 15
35.5%
16.0
August 31
11.0%
12.0

Probability over time

December 31
October 31
September 30
September 15
August 31
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.