Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

Polymarket traders put "Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?" at 55.0%. $80 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Oct 31.

Most likely right now
JD Vance
55%
PoliticsVol $80Total volume $80Liquidity $256in 1 months (Oct 31)
Current probability

Sep 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
JD Vance
55.0%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.