Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?
Polymarket traders put "↓ 35%" at 97.0% on "Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?". $9.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
↓ 35%
–97%
PoliticsVol $9.4KTotal volume $9.4KLiquidity $37Kin 1 months (Nov 1)
Current probability
Sep 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
↓ 35%
97.0%
–
↑ 40%
60.5%
–
↑ 45%
44.0%
–
↓ 30%
37.5%
–
↓ 25%
23.5%
–
↑ 50%
17.5%
–
↑ 55%
11.5%
–
↑ 60%
6.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
