Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Polymarket traders put "≤47" at 38.5% on "Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?". $788 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
≤47
–39%
PoliticsVol $788Total volume $3.1MLiquidity $926KComments 12in 24 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
≤47
38.5%
–
48
18.0%
▲0.5
49
13.0%
–
50
11.5%
▼0.5
51
7.50%
–
52
6.30%
▲1.1
53
4.55%
▲0.9
54
2.50%
–
55
1.60%
–
56
0.95%
–
57+
0.60%
–
Probability over time
≤47
48
49
50
51
52
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
