Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Polymarket traders put "≤47" at 26.5% on "Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?". $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
≤47
–27%
PoliticsVol $1.4KTotal volume $2.9MLiquidity $308KComments 10in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
≤47
26.5%
–
48
13.5%
▲0.5
49
13.5%
–
50
12.5%
▲1.0
51
10.5%
–
52
8.50%
▼2.5
53
4.80%
–
54
4.05%
–
55
2.65%
–
56
1.30%
–
57+
0.85%
–
Probability over time
≤47
48
49
50
51
52
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
