Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)

Polymarket traders put "48+" at 50.5% on "Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)". $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
48+
–51%
PoliticsVol $1.4KTotal volume $1.4KLiquidity $19Kin 11 days (Nov 3)
Current probability

Oct 24 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
48+
50.5%
–
46
16.0%
–
44
14.0%
–
47
14.0%
–
45
11.0%
–
41
10.5%
–
≤40
9.00%
–
43
7.00%
–
42
1.10%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.