Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Polymarket traders put "Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?" at 1.5%. Down 0.6%p from yesterday. $7.6K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
▼0.62%
PoliticsVol $7.6KTotal volume $224KLiquidity $135KComments 11in 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
1.50%
▼0.6

Probability over time

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.