Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?
Polymarket traders put "No Hormuz Agreement; R Senate" at 31.4% on "Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?". $33K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
No Hormuz Agreement; R Senate
–31%
PoliticsVol $33KTotal volume $33KLiquidity $189Kin 23 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
No Hormuz Agreement; R Senate
31.4%
–
Hormuz Agreement; R Senate
4.15%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
