Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80?
Polymarket traders put "Oil ≥ $80; R Senate" at 29.5% on "Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80?". $7.9K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
–30%
PoliticsVol $7.9KTotal volume $7.9KLiquidity $130Kin 23 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
29.5%
–
Oil < $80; R Senate
7.05%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
