RI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 15-20%" at 29.5% on "RI-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 15-20%
▼1.030%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $10Liquidity $1.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 15-20%
29.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 10-15%
28.5%
▲3.5
Democrat 30-35%
27.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 20-25%
26.5%
▲5.0
Democrat 35%+
26.0%
▼6.5
Democrat 0-5%
26.0%
▼10.0
Democrat 25-30%
20.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 5-10%
20.0%
▼5.5
Republican Wins
9.00%
▼3.5
Probability over time
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 35%+
Democrat 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
