RI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 28.5% on "RI-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 5.0%p from yesterday. $345 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▲5.028%
PoliticsVol $345Total volume $13KLiquidity $109Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
28.5%
▲5.0
Democrat 25-30%
23.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 15-20%
17.3%
▲2.7
Democrat 30-35%
12.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 35%+
11.5%
▲7.5
Democrat 10-15%
6.95%
–
Democrat 5-10%
3.30%
–
Democrat 0-5%
0.15%
–
Republican Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 35%+
Democrat 10-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
