Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Most likely right now
Eduardo Paes
94%
PoliticsVol $22KTotal volume $419KLiquidity $830KComments 7in 1 months (Oct 5)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Eduardo Paes
94.3%
Douglas Ruas
5.20%
Rafa Luz
0.40%
Dr. Luizinho
0.35%
Wilson Witzel
0.30%
Colonel Busnello
0.30%
Felipe Curi
0.25%
Anthony Garotinho
0.20%
André Ceciliano
0.20%
Lindbergh Farias
0.15%
Fred Pacheco
0.15%
Eduardo Pazuello
0.05%
Tarcísio Motta
0.05%
André Português
0.05%
Nicola Miccione
0.05%
Chico Machado
0.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.