Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Allyson 10-15%" at 29.5% on "Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory". $334 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 26.
Most likely right now
Allyson 10-15%
–30%
PoliticsVol $334Total volume $334Liquidity $4.5Kin 18 days (Oct 26)
Current probability
Oct 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Allyson 10-15%
29.5%
–
Allyson 15%+
28.5%
–
Allyson 6-10%
19.5%
–
Cadu wins
18.0%
–
Allyson <3%
15.0%
–
Allyson 3-6%
14.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
