Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?

Polymarket traders put "Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?" at 61.5%. Up 4.0%p from yesterday. $1.5K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Sep 20.

Most likely right now
Yes/No
4.062%
PoliticsVol $1.5KTotal volume $1.5KLiquidity $4.7KComments 3in 5 days (Sep 20)
Current probability

Sep 16 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Yes/No
61.5%
4.0

Probability over time

Yes/No
02550751009/159/16
2026-09-15 ~ 2026-09-16 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.