Russia lifts diesel export ban by...?

Polymarket traders put "October 30" at 81.5% on "Russia lifts diesel export ban by...?". $200 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.

Most likely right now
October 30
–82%
PoliticsVol $200Total volume $200Liquidity $395in 21 days (Oct 31)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 30
81.5%
–
October 15
67.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.