Russia Parliamentary Election: 4th Place

Polymarket traders put "Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)" at 45.5% on "Russia Parliamentary Election: 4th Place". $276 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 20.

Most likely right now
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
46%
PoliticsVol $276Total volume $276Liquidity $27Kin 18 days (Sep 20)
Current probability

Sep 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
45.5%
New People (NL)
45.0%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
24.5%
Civic Platform (GP)
21.0%
Rodina
18.5%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
4.50%
United Russia (ER)
2.45%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.