Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?

Polymarket traders put "Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?" at 90.5%. Down 7.9%p from yesterday. $3 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Aug 28.

Most likely right now
August 21
▼7.991%
PoliticsVol $3Total volume $9.4KLiquidity $116Closed (Aug 28)
Current probability

Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
August 21
90.5%
▼7.9

Probability over time

August 21
02550751008/259/129/2510/110/810/11
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.