Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?

Polymarket traders put "Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?" at 89.5%. Down 2.5%p from yesterday. $132 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Aug 28.

Most likely right now
August 28
2.590%
PoliticsVol $132Total volume $7.9KLiquidity $506in 2 days (Aug 28)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
August 28
89.5%
2.5

Probability over time

August 28
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.