Russia x Ukraine major prisoner exchange by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 86.8% on "Russia x Ukraine major prisoner exchange by...?". Up 6.2%p from yesterday. $699 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
▲6.287%
PoliticsVol $699Total volume $3.0KLiquidity $6.1Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
86.8%
▲6.2
November 30
55.0%
▲18.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
