Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 62.5% on "Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. $23K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
December 31
▲2.063%
PoliticsVol $23KTotal volume $1.2MLiquidity $142KComments 97in 3 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
62.5%
▲2.0
November 30
50.0%
▲5.0
October 31
26.0%
▲0.5
October 15
3.45%
▼1.1
Probability over time
December 31
November 30
October 31
October 15
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
