Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "AfD 15-20%" at 45.0% on "Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory". $688 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 6.
Most likely right now
AfD 15-20%
–45%
PoliticsVol $688Total volume $688Liquidity $4.8Kin 4 days (Sep 6)
Current probability
Sep 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
AfD 15-20%
45.0%
–
AfD 20-25%
40.5%
–
AfD 10-15%
11.0%
–
AfD 25%+
9.00%
–
AfD <10%
6.10%
–
Other
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
