Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 17.0% on "Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?". $875 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
December 31
17%
PoliticsVol $875Total volume $875Liquidity $21Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Sep 18 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
17.0%
October 31
9.00%
September 30
2.70%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.