Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 13.0% on "Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?". Down 4.0%p from yesterday. $541 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
December 31
▼4.013%
PoliticsVol $541Total volume $12KLiquidity $14Kin 2 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Nov 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
13.0%
▼4.0
October 31
1.85%
–

Probability over time

December 31
October 31
02550751009/189/2610/410/1210/2010/2811/2
2026-09-18 ~ 2026-11-02 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.