SC-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 3-6%" at 19.5% on "SC-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 8.0%p from yesterday. $62 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 3-6%
▼8.020%
PoliticsVol $62Total volume $8.2KLiquidity $94Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 3-6%
19.5%
▼8.0
Republican 0-3%
17.8%
▼1.0
Republican 6-9%
16.5%
▲2.5
Republican 3-6%
16.5%
▲2.0
Democrat 0-3%
14.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 6%+
11.8%
▼4.7
Republican 9-12%
10.4%
▲0.7
Republican 18%+
9.15%
▼1.4
Republican 12-15%
7.70%
▼4.2
Republican 15-18%
6.65%
▲4.4
Probability over time
Democrat 3-6%
Republican 0-3%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 3-6%
Democrat 0-3%
Democrat 6%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
