SC-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 18%+" at 34.5% on "SC-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 12.5%p from yesterday. $254 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 18%+
▲12.535%
PoliticsVol $254Total volume $254Liquidity $1.2Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 18%+
34.5%
▲12.5
Republican 12-15%
33.5%
▲7.5
Republican 6-9%
33.5%
▲5.5
Democrat 0-3%
33.0%
▲9.5
Republican 3-6%
32.5%
▲7.5
Democrat 6%+
31.0%
▲2.0
Republican 15-18%
30.5%
▲2.0
Republican 9-12%
30.5%
▲5.5
Republican 0-3%
30.5%
▲9.5
Democrat 3-6%
30.5%
▲1.0
Probability over time
Republican 18%+
Republican 12-15%
Republican 6-9%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 3-6%
Democrat 6%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
