SC-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 5-10%" at 24.0% on "SC-02 House Election Margin of Victory". $709 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 5-10%
–24%
PoliticsVol $709Total volume $16KLiquidity $74Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 5-10%
24.0%
–
Republican 10-15%
22.3%
▼3.1
Republican 0-5%
16.0%
▲4.5
Democrat 0-5%
6.50%
▲2.1
Republican 15-20%
5.95%
–
Democrat 5%+
4.65%
–
Republican 20-25%
3.40%
▼0.5
Republican 25%+
3.25%
–
Probability over time
Republican 5-10%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 0-5%
Democrat 0-5%
Republican 15-20%
Democrat 5%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
