SC-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 35-40%" at 34.5% on "SC-03 House Election Margin of Victory". $587 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 35-40%
–35%
PoliticsVol $587Total volume $16KLiquidity $150Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 35-40%
34.5%
–
Republican 30-35%
27.5%
▲2.0
Republican 25-30%
16.3%
▼1.6
Republican 40-45%
16.0%
▼1.0
Republican 45-50%
5.00%
▼3.9
Republican 50%+
4.85%
▼1.4
Republican 20-25%
2.45%
▼1.5
Republican 0-10%
2.35%
–
Republican 10-20%
0.50%
–
Democrat Wins
0.25%
–

Probability over time

Republican 35-40%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 45-50%
Republican 50%+
02550751008/259/79/159/2310/110/910/11
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.