SC-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 45-50%" at 35.0% on "SC-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 5.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 45-50%
▲5.535%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $152Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 45-50%
35.0%
▲5.5
Republican 25-30%
33.5%
▼1.0
Republican 30-35%
32.5%
▲9.5
Republican 10-20%
31.0%
▼0.5
Republican 50%+
26.5%
▼4.5
Republican 40-45%
26.0%
▼0.5
Republican 35-40%
25.5%
▼2.0
Republican 0-10%
24.0%
▲2.0
Republican 20-25%
20.0%
▼5.0
Democrat Wins
3.60%
▼15.2
Probability over time
Republican 45-50%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 10-20%
Republican 50%+
Republican 40-45%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
