SC-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 32.5% on "SC-04 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $31 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▼0.533%
PoliticsVol $31Total volume $14KLiquidity $126Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
32.5%
▼0.5
Republican 10-15%
29.5%
–
Republican 5-10%
17.3%
▲0.5
Republican 20-25%
16.0%
–
Republican 25-30%
5.15%
–
Republican 30%+
4.45%
▲0.8
Republican 0-5%
3.05%
▼1.4
Democrat Wins
2.70%
–
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
