SC-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 25.5% on "SC-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $357 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▲1.026%
PoliticsVol $357Total volume $20KLiquidity $97Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
25.5%
▲1.0
Republican 15-20%
24.5%
▲0.5
Republican 20-25%
23.0%
▼1.0
Republican 5-10%
22.1%
▼0.9
Republican 30-35%
4.80%
▲1.3
Republican 25-30%
3.95%
▼0.9
Democrat Wins
3.40%
▼0.8
Republican 0-5%
3.15%
–
Republican 35%+
0.40%
–
Probability over time
Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
