SC-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 25.5% on "SC-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 4.0%p from yesterday. $28 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
4.026%
PoliticsVol $28Total volume $28Liquidity $2.2Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
25.5%
4.0
Republican 20-25%
25.0%
1.5
Republican 5-10%
25.0%
4.5
Republican 15-20%
24.5%
2.0
Republican 35%+
23.5%
2.0
Democrat Wins
21.5%
6.5
Republican 30-35%
19.5%
4.0
Republican 25-30%
17.5%
5.0
Republican 0-5%
17.5%
4.5

Probability over time

Republican 10-15%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 35%+
Democrat Wins
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.