SC-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-35%" at 29.5% on "SC-06 House Election Margin of Victory". $40 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Democrat 30-35%
–30%
PoliticsVol $40Total volume $6.7KLiquidity $109Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 30-35%
29.5%
–
Democrat 25-30%
16.5%
▼5.5
Democrat 35-40%
10.0%
▼8.5
Democrat 40-45%
7.00%
–
Democrat 20-25%
6.65%
▼3.0
Democrat 45%+
5.10%
▲0.7
Democrat 5-15%
4.55%
▲0.7
Democrat 15-20%
4.50%
–
Republican Wins
3.75%
–
Democrat 0-5%
2.50%
–

Probability over time

Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 45%+
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.