SC-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 40-45%" at 37.5% on "SC-06 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 40-45%
▲2.038%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $260Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 40-45%
37.5%
▲2.0
Democrat 0-5%
35.0%
▲1.5
Democrat 35-40%
34.0%
▲4.5
Democrat 45%+
32.5%
▲2.5
Democrat 20-25%
32.5%
▲4.0
Democrat 15-20%
31.5%
▲5.0
Democrat 30-35%
29.5%
–
Democrat 5-15%
25.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 25-30%
24.0%
▼5.5
Republican Wins
5.50%
▼4.5
Probability over time
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 45%+
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
