SC-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 32.0% on "SC-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $80 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▲1.032%
PoliticsVol $80Total volume $6.7KLiquidity $45Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
32.0%
▲1.0
Republican 15-20%
27.9%
–
Republican 20-25%
26.5%
–
Republican 5-10%
8.00%
▼2.0
Republican 0-5%
6.95%
▲0.9
Republican 25-30%
6.00%
–
Republican 35%+
5.80%
▲0.5
Republican 30-35%
5.20%
▲0.8
Democrat Wins
4.20%
▼0.7

Probability over time

Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 25-30%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.