SC-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 28.0% on "SC-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
2.028%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $19Liquidity $1.9Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
28.0%
2.0
Republican 35%+
24.5%
1.5
Republican 20-25%
24.5%
5.5
Republican 10-15%
23.5%
2.0
Republican 30-35%
23.0%
7.5
Republican 5-10%
23.0%
4.5
Republican 0-5%
20.5%
6.5
Republican 15-20%
18.0%
6.0
Democrat Wins
16.0%
3.0

Probability over time

Republican 25-30%
Republican 35%+
Republican 20-25%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 5-10%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.