SD-AL House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 31.5% on "SD-AL House Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.5%p from yesterday. $150 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
▲3.532%
PoliticsVol $150Total volume $8.8KLiquidity $80Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
31.5%
▲3.5
Republican 20-25%
31.4%
▼6.5
Republican 15-20%
22.0%
▲4.5
Republican 30-35%
18.5%
▲5.7
Republican 35-40%
13.6%
▲6.3
Republican 10-15%
6.15%
▲1.0
Republican 0-10%
2.30%
▼0.9
Republican 40%+
0.15%
–
Democrat Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 10-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
