SD-AL House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 40%+" at 24.5% on "SD-AL House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 40%+
▼0.525%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $329Liquidity $20Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 40%+
24.5%
▼0.5
Republican 30-35%
24.0%
▼1.0
Republican 15-20%
21.0%
▲3.5
Republican 0-10%
16.0%
▲3.0
Republican 10-15%
11.5%
▼0.5
Republican 35-40%
7.00%
▼5.5
Republican 25-30%
6.50%
▼6.0
Republican 20-25%
4.50%
▼1.0
Democrat Wins
3.05%
▼1.4
Probability over time
Republican 40%+
Republican 30-35%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 0-10%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 35-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
