Second-best AI Lab end of November?
Polymarket traders put "Anthropic" at 59.0% on "Second-best AI Lab end of November?". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $545 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
Anthropic
▲1.559%
TechVol $545Total volume $39KLiquidity $36Kin 28 days (Dec 1)
Current probability
Nov 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Anthropic
59.0%
▲1.5
Google
22.5%
▼1.0
Meta
17.0%
▲6.0
OpenAI
4.35%
▼1.0
Nvidia
4.15%
▼2.4
Z.ai
3.45%
▼2.3
Alibaba
2.80%
–
SpaceXAI
2.50%
–
Moonshot
0.55%
–
DeepSeek
0.50%
–
Xiaomi
0.40%
–
Baidu
0.15%
–
Amazon
0.15%
–
ByteDance
0.15%
–
Thinky
0.15%
–
MiniMax
0.15%
–
Mistral
0.15%
–
Meituan
0.15%
–
Tencent
0.15%
–
Microsoft
0.15%
–
StepFun
0.10%
–
Probability over time
Anthropic
Google
Meta
OpenAI
Nvidia
Z.ai
2026-09-19 ~ 2026-11-03 · y-axis %
