Second-best AI Lab end of November?
Polymarket traders put "Google" at 35.5% on "Second-best AI Lab end of November?". $1.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
Google
–36%
TechVol $1.8KTotal volume $1.8KLiquidity $7.8Kin 2 months (Dec 1)
Current probability
Sep 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Google
35.5%
–
Meta
22.0%
–
MiniMax
14.9%
–
Anthropic
13.0%
–
Mistral
11.5%
–
Microsoft
11.5%
–
Amazon
11.0%
–
ByteDance
10.4%
–
Moonshot
9.55%
–
SpaceXAI
9.50%
–
DeepSeek
9.05%
–
Alibaba
9.00%
–
Meituan
8.95%
–
Nvidia
7.50%
–
OpenAI
7.00%
–
Tencent
5.50%
–
Xiaomi
5.10%
–
Thinky
4.95%
–
Z.ai
4.60%
–
Baidu
4.10%
–
StepFun
3.80%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
