Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
Polymarket traders put "Anthropic" at 50.0% on "Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?". Up 10.5%p from yesterday. $1.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
Anthropic
▲10.550%
TechVol $1.5KTotal volume $31KLiquidity $28Kin 28 days (Dec 1)
Current probability
Nov 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Anthropic
50.0%
▲10.5
Google
33.5%
▼14.5
ByteDance
6.05%
▲1.9
OpenAI
5.45%
▲0.5
Tencent
5.45%
▲1.0
Nvidia
5.25%
▲2.3
StepFun
4.75%
▲0.6
Microsoft
4.65%
–
Baidu
4.45%
–
Meta
4.25%
–
Thinky
4.05%
▼1.1
Z.ai
4.00%
–
DeepSeek
3.75%
–
Moonshot
3.70%
–
SpaceXAI
2.90%
–
Xiaomi
2.65%
–
Amazon
2.45%
–
Meituan
2.40%
–
Alibaba
2.35%
–
Mistral
1.75%
▼0.6
MiniMax
0.75%
–
Probability over time
Anthropic
Google
ByteDance
OpenAI
Tencent
Nvidia
2026-09-19 ~ 2026-11-03 · y-axis %
