Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Polymarket traders put "Google" at 27.0% on "Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?". $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
Google
27%
TechVol $1.2KTotal volume $1.2KLiquidity $4.5Kin 2 months (Dec 1)
Current probability

Sep 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Google
27.0%
OpenAI
23.0%
Meta
19.8%
Alibaba
13.5%
Baidu
12.5%
Mistral
12.3%
SpaceXAI
11.3%
Meituan
11.3%
Nvidia
10.8%
Moonshot
10.0%
ByteDance
9.85%
DeepSeek
9.00%
Tencent
8.10%
Amazon
7.50%
Microsoft
6.50%
Anthropic
6.00%
Z.ai
6.00%
Thinky
5.60%
MiniMax
5.10%
StepFun
4.10%
Xiaomi
4.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.