Ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?
Polymarket traders put "170+" at 89.5% on "Ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?". $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 23.
Most likely right now
170+
–90%
PoliticsVol $1.1KTotal volume $1.1KLiquidity $2.4Kin 8 days (Nov 23)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
170+
89.5%
–
175+
85.0%
–
180+
71.5%
–
185+
60.0%
–
190+
50.5%
–
195+
35.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
