Ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz week of November 16?

Polymarket traders put "22+" at 69.0% on "Ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz week of November 16?". $690 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 23.

Most likely right now
22+
–69%
PoliticsVol $690Total volume $690Liquidity $1.7Kin 8 days (Nov 23)
Current probability

Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
22+
69.0%
–
24+
55.0%
–
26+
46.5%
–
28+
32.0%
–
30+
27.0%
–
32+
24.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.